Are you kidding me? You pull your starters in a tight 4th quarter game. The Jets were + 7 in that game and Indy was up only 5 points, so the Jets were already covering the spread. Pulling the starters all but guaranteed a Jets winning bet. On top of that, there is almost no rationale for pulling the starters for the 4th quarter of a game on December 27th when your next playoff game is January 17th or 18th. What would resting the starters in the 4th quarter of a tight game do aside from assure the Jets winning bet and infuriate the players. Their faces relayed their intense frustration with watching their undefeated season go up in flames.
If you had bet the Colts, it was a terrible bet according to the statistics. In 2009, the Colts haven't lost on the road, but are surprisingly a sub .500 team against the spread at home (that loss sent them to 3-5 on the year). On top of that, it was a good guess to think that the gutless brass in Indianapolis would pull starters as they did in 2005 when they had the # 1 seed, only to lose to San Diego in the divisional playoff.
Going into week 16, it is tough to say where Vegas will set the line when no one knows who Indy will play in that game. You can predict Indy's reserves will be on the field with vanilla play calling against a Buffalo team with their U Hauls packed. You can bet that game was on the level, and Caldwell probably didn't bet the Jets either; he just cheated his own team's bettors.
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